Welcome to Doppelgänger Britain – a world without Brexit

Economic growth is 5% higher in the UK than it is now, foreign investment is up 11% and 7% more goods are being traded across its borders.

The doppelgänger is an attempt to work out how the UK would be faring now if it weren’t for the EU .

The model suggests the costs of Brexit are on the higher end of the forecasts made before and immediately after the referendum.

Springford ’s model last reported in summer 2022 that UK GDP is 5.5% lower than that of the doppelgänger.

But Springford painted an even gloomier picture after revisions of the goods trade figures, he believes the hit was more likely one of 10-15% .

Springford is asked “all the time” by European governments to visit and talk them through his work.