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AGI could now arrive as early as 2026 — but not all scientists agree

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Summary
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79% Informative

The rise of artificial general intelligence (AGI) is a matter of when, not if, according to a new analysis of thousands of expert opinions.

The analysis was conducted by Cem Dilmegani , principal analyst at AIMultiple Research .

Based on an averaging of the data, there's a 50% probability that we would achieve human-level intelligence in machines at some point between 2040 and 2061 .

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92

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38

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formal

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English

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62

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medium-lived