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DeepSeek isn't as great as it seems and won't help China beat the US to AGI: Dario Amodei

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Summary
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74% Informative

Chinese startup DeepSeek tanked tech stocks on Monday after releasing its AI model.

In a research paper, the company revealed that it trained R1 using software innovations rather than having access to massive hardware resources like OpenAI and other US companies.

The claim that software optimization can replace hardware is what hurt the stock market, especially NVIDIA and other AI hardware companies.

However, I said the worries were overblown. Software optimization can’t fully replace hardware capabilities.

Amodei predicts that AGI will happen in 2026-2027 and will require “ millions of chips, [and] tens of billions of dollars (at least)” He argues that for the latter to happen, sanctions must continue so that China can’t easily buy or smuggle the millions of chips needed for AGI development.

The US and its allies might take a commanding and long-lasting lead on the global stage.

VR Score

72

Informative language

69

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45

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semi-formal

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English

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52

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medium-lived

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