Trump's Election Overestimated Again

This is a news story, published by Yahoo, that relates primarily to Donald Trump news.

Donald Trump news

For more Donald Trump news, you can click here:

more Donald Trump news

News about Us campaigns & elections

For more Us campaigns & elections news, you can click here:

more Us campaigns & elections news

Yahoo news

For more news from Yahoo, you can click here:

more news from Yahoo

About the Otherweb

Otherweb, Inc is a public benefit corporation, dedicated to improving the quality of news people consume. We are non-partisan, junk-free, and ad-free. We use artificial intelligence (AI) to remove junk from your news feed, and allow you to select the best politics news, business news, entertainment news, and much more. If you like this article about Us campaigns & elections, you might also like this article about

national presidential opinion polls

. We are dedicated to bringing you the highest-quality news, junk-free and ad-free, about your favorite topics. Please come every day to read the latest national polls news, Public opinion polls news, news about Us campaigns & elections, and other high-quality news about any topic that interests you. We are working hard to create the best news aggregator on the web, and to put you in control of your news feed - whether you choose to read the latest news through our website, our news app, or our daily newsletter - all free!

national opinion polls

Reuters

•

Once again, polls underestimated Trump. Experts only have a hunch why

Summary

Nutrition label

80% Informative

Polls before the Nov. 5 vote had shown Donald Trump trailing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris by 1 percentage point.

With vote tallies nearly finalized, Trump led Harris nationally by 2 percentage points: 50% to 48% . That undershoot of 3 points follows polls in 2020 that underestimated Trump 's margin by 4 points and in 2016 that underestimated his performance by 2 points.

Polling experts say they remain unsure of why polls underestimate Trump , who has railed against polls as biased against him.

Marquette 's poll this year divided the state into 90 regions and followed up with potential respondents first by email and then by phone.

The survey non-response problem predates Trump 's rise as an anti-establishment icon.

Response rates have been falling for decades among large non-political surveys like those conducted by the Census Bureau .

VR Score

Informative language

Neutral language

Article tone

formal

Language

English

Language complexity