2024 Polls Overestimated Trump
This is a news story, published by ABC News, that relates primarily to Aaron Carroll news.
Aaron Carroll news
For more Aaron Carroll news, you can click here:
more Aaron Carroll newsNews about Us campaigns & elections
For more Us campaigns & elections news, you can click here:
more Us campaigns & elections newsABC News news
For more news from ABC News, you can click here:
more news from ABC NewsAbout the Otherweb
Otherweb, Inc is a public benefit corporation, dedicated to improving the quality of news people consume. We are non-partisan, junk-free, and ad-free. We use artificial intelligence (AI) to remove junk from your news feed, and allow you to select the best politics news, business news, entertainment news, and much more. If you like this article about Us campaigns & elections, you might also like this article about
national polls. We are dedicated to bringing you the highest-quality news, junk-free and ad-free, about your favorite topics. Please come every day to read the latest pollster accuracy news, polls news, news about Us campaigns & elections, and other high-quality news about any topic that interests you. We are working hard to create the best news aggregator on the web, and to put you in control of your news feed - whether you choose to read the latest news through our website, our news app, or our daily newsletter - all free!
accurate pollingABC News
•2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump
88% Informative
Polls missed the margin of the election by just 2.94 percentage points in the last three weeks of the campaign.
In 2024 , state-level polling error in 2024 is actually the lowest it's been in at least 25 years .
Polls are also important for the reporting we do here at 538 , which is rooted in data.
Aaron Carroll : Polls overestimated support for Harris by an average of 2.7 points on margin in competitive states.
Carroll: But it's higher than the bias in the 2000 , 2004 , 2008 and 2012 elections.
He says the pattern in the industry is still the same: Pollsters are having a hard time reaching the types of people who support Trump .
Carroll says it's remarkable that polls are as accurate as they are.
VR Score
94
Informative language
97
Neutral language
37
Article tone
informal
Language
English
Language complexity
49
Offensive language
not offensive
Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
not detected
Known propaganda techniques
not detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
18
Source diversity
11
Affiliate links
no affiliate links