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election predictionUSA Today
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82% Informative
Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted nine of 11 presidential elections since 1984 .
His previous 90% success rate has declined to 81.8% after Kamala Harris' late campaign start.
He says he stands by his " 13 Keys to the White House " system, emphasizing its long-term accuracy.
He also criticized Nate Silver's polling-based prediction model, suggesting it relied on chance.
Lichtman called out Nate Silver's final 2024 forecast, which also predicted a Harris victory, in a Monday X post ahead of Election Day .
The 77-year-old historian is responding to an X post shared by Silver on Monday explaining how his final election forecast could be decided by "luck".
VR Score
86
Informative language
84
Neutral language
75
Article tone
semi-formal
Language
English
Language complexity
43
Offensive language
not offensive
Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
not detected
Known propaganda techniques
not detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
4
Source diversity
3
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