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national pollsWashington Examiner
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82% Informative
The Selzer poll in Iowa suggests a surge of late deciders in the last days of the campaign toss aside their indecision and opt for a candidate they had hesitated to support.
The analogy would be a massive swing in the counties outside the million-plus metropolitan areas and university cities away from Trump , whose victory in 2016 and near-victory in 2020 were due to massive majorities there.
A second possibility is a third consecutive election decided by a few thousand votes in a few of the target states.
RCP has Harris with just a 0.1 -point lead nationally, not far ahead of the 0.8 -point leads it has given Trump in the target states.
Nate Silver has Harris ahead by 1 point nationally while trailing by 0.4 -point average lead in target states. That would be a sharp shift from 2020 , when Democrats in their safe seats were 14.8 million .
VR Score
89
Informative language
92
Neutral language
14
Article tone
semi-formal
Language
English
Language complexity
52
Offensive language
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Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
not detected
Known propaganda techniques
not detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
7
Source diversity
6
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