Election Uncertainty Persists

This is a Iowa news story, published by Washington Examiner, that relates primarily to Harris news.

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national polls

Washington Examiner

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Who’s going to win? We just don’t know, but fundamentals point to Trump - Washington Examiner

Summary

Nutrition label

82% Informative

The Selzer poll in Iowa suggests a surge of late deciders in the last days of the campaign toss aside their indecision and opt for a candidate they had hesitated to support.

The analogy would be a massive swing in the counties outside the million-plus metropolitan areas and university cities away from Trump , whose victory in 2016 and near-victory in 2020 were due to massive majorities there.

A second possibility is a third consecutive election decided by a few thousand votes in a few of the target states.

RCP has Harris with just a 0.1 -point lead nationally, not far ahead of the 0.8 -point leads it has given Trump in the target states.

Nate Silver has Harris ahead by 1 point nationally while trailing by 0.4 -point average lead in target states. That would be a sharp shift from 2020 , when Democrats in their safe seats were 14.8 million .

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Informative language

Neutral language

Article tone

semi-formal

Language

English

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not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful