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A U.S. election poll in Iowa is making waves. Can it predict the race? - National | Globalnews.ca

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A new U.S. election poll released Saturday showed Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in the traditionally Republican state of Iowa .

The Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showed Harris beating Trump 47 to 44 per cent in Iowa , a state Trump won by nine points in the last two presidential elections.

But experts are still warning that the race overall is so close that no single poll can accurately predict what may happen on Nov. 5 .

Selzer 's firm uses a more old-school polling method of targeted dialing over the phone to get a more representative sample right away.

She also used far less weighing than her peers, a method Selzer calls “polling forward” because it doesn’t take into account historical factors like past voting behaviour and turnout.

Experts say nonpartisan pollsters like Selzer like her do not intentionally wait to release their polls to favour one party or another.