Weather forecast could predict if Trump or Harris wins 2024 election

A stormy day can also impact voter mood and sway the undecided toward a particular candidate, according to a political strategist.

A study estimates that for every centimeter of rain that falls on voting day, turnout falls by 0.95 percentage points.

Weather in swing states - Pennsylvania , Georgia , North Carolina , Michigan , Arizona , Wisconsin and Nevada - is really 'the only weather that matters,' Bradley Tusk said.

While the central US will be mired in storms, AccuWeather has predicted warm and dry conditions across much of the East Coast and Southeast.

Some experts believe voting day conditions have swayed elections before, though this is less fact than political lore, Tusk cautioned. During the 1960 election when John F. Kennedy beat Richard Nixon , voting day was clear and sunny across the US . Some experts speculate that this gave the Democratic ticket an advantage. And in 2000 , when George W. Bush ran against Al Gore , election day was rainy in Florida - the deciding state for this election. The bad weather lowered voter turnout in some strongholds for Gore , such as Pensacola . This may have played a role in securing the presidency for Bush ..