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New York Magazine

Are the Polls Wrong Again? Why Experts Are Worried About ‘Herding’

New York Magazine
Summary
Nutrition label

80% Informative

David Gergen : Polls are showing an insanely close race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris .

He says it's hard to find polls showing much of anything else; polls are showing close race in seven battleground states.

Gergen asks: Is it because politics are stable because the polls only look like the results of 2020 because of the fact that the polls in 2024 are making the decisions that are making that.

David Gergen : Some are obsessed with early-voting data, others with subjective indicia of “enthusiasm” Gergen says polls are better than relying on partisan hype, spin, and disinformation.

If polls do turn out to be off significantly, we will almost certainly see a wave of postelection know-nothingism in which angry or frustrated people argue that we should throw away all objective indicators.

VR Score

86

Informative language

88

Neutral language

13

Article tone

informal

Language

English

Language complexity

51

Offensive language

not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful

Attention-grabbing headline

not detected

Known propaganda techniques

not detected

Time-value

short-lived

External references

20

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