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data expert Nate SilverCNBC
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84% Informative
Political polling data expert Nate Silver says he thinks Donald Trump is more likely to win the election than Kamala Harris .
Silver says the polls have been off by three to four points "systematically, across the board" Silver also says the momentum for Trump picked up by pollsters is questionable.
Silver is also a professional poker player and consultant to a prediction market.
In the current prediction markets, Trump is favored by as much as 66% to 34% over the vice president.
Trump is not nearly as good a bet to the gambler as he was in 2016 , Silver says.
Silver: "Anyone who is confident about selection is someone whose opinion you should discount".
VR Score
89
Informative language
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External references
4
Source diversity
4
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