Election Closest Polls Ever

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Polls show an election that could be the 'closest since Bush v. Gore'

Summary

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75% Informative

Polls are showing razor-thin margins in key battlegrounds and nationally.

The race between Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is deadlocked.

After polling misses in recent elections, few analysts today are willing to stake a bet.

The rise of “big data,” both inside campaigns and for outside observers, has helped create a perception of certainty.

In 2012 , polls were off by a wider margin than in 2016 , but because the polls underestimated support for Obama , who ended up winning, people didn’t focus on it as much as in 2016 .

With the electorate teetering in either direction, everything from a decisive Harris victory to a large Trump win is possible.

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