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much pollingThe Hill
•81% Informative
Polls have been edging in Trump ’s direction since Vice President Harris hit her two high points — around the Democratic National Convention in late August and following her first and only debate with Trump on Sept. 10 .
A recent media blitz by Harris has failed to give any comparable boost, judging from polling within the past week .
The forecasting model now gives each candidate an exactly 50 percent chance of prevailing, a shift from a recent high of 56 percent for Harris less than a month ago .
Pennsylvania is the biggest prize on the battleground map, with 19 Electoral College votes up for grabs.
Harris has an edge of three-tenths of a point in The Hill/DDHQ average, meaning the race is in effect a dead heat.
Trump carried the state in 2016 , becoming the first Republican to do so since Reagan in 1984 .
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