Predicting 2020 Presidential Election

This is a news story, published by MSN, that relates primarily to Thomas Miller's news.

Thomas Miller's news

For more Thomas Miller's news, you can click here:

more Thomas Miller's news

News about Us campaigns & elections

For more Us campaigns & elections news, you can click here:

more Us campaigns & elections news

MSN news

For more news from MSN, you can click here:

more news from MSN

About the Otherweb

Otherweb, Inc is a public benefit corporation, dedicated to improving the quality of news people consume. We are non-partisan, junk-free, and ad-free. We use artificial intelligence (AI) to remove junk from your news feed, and allow you to select the best politics news, business news, entertainment news, and much more. If you like this article about Us campaigns & elections, you might also like this article about

presidential race

. We are dedicated to bringing you the highest-quality news, junk-free and ad-free, about your favorite topics. Please come every day to read the latest presidential elections news, Harris votes news, news about Us campaigns & elections, and other high-quality news about any topic that interests you. We are working hard to create the best news aggregator on the web, and to put you in control of your news feed - whether you choose to read the latest news through our website, our news app, or our daily newsletter - all free!

presidential election

Fortune

•

Trump’s odds have surged over the past week and he now holds a 2 vote electoral college lead, says prominent data scientist

Summary

Nutrition label

76% Informative

Data scientist Thomas Miller's model is based on political betting data.

It's governed by two ruling principles.

The model relies on the probabilities expressed by bettors who'll reap big gains if the candidate they're wagering will win, not the ones they plan to vote for, prevails.

In early June , Trump had a huge lead, and by the time of the Republican convention in mid-July , it was well over a commanding total of 300 .

The chart shows a pattern of huge surges that keep deflating, bringing the race back again and again into even balance.

Trump 's big surge started on October 4 , he vaulted to 270 and into the tiniest of leads, while Harris dropped from by 30 EVs to 268 .

VR Score

Informative language

Neutral language

Article tone

semi-formal

Language

English

Language complexity

Offensive language