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Republican Thomas DeweyABC News
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83% Informative
Economist Louis Bean achieved political fame for a book he wrote in 1948 that suggested, contrary to conventional wisdom, that Democratic President Harry Truman was favored to win the election.
Bean predicted that Sen. Robert A. Taft , R- Ohio , would lose reelection in 1950 , The Washington Post printed the headline: “Political Prophet Sees Taft Defeat” Today , there are more of these “prophets” than ever.
Forecasters use a combination of factors to put a number on the probability that a race will turn out one way or the other.
Those who present their predictions most confidently who tend to receive the most attention.
The field of elections forecasters is dominated by men, despite the large number of women who work in polling.
VR Score
89
Informative language
88
Neutral language
68
Article tone
informal
Language
English
Language complexity
56
Offensive language
not offensive
Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
not detected
Known propaganda techniques
not detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
9
Source diversity
3
Affiliate links
no affiliate links