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pollsABC News
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87% Informative
Vice President Kamala Harris has a 57-in-100 chance of winning the presidential election, 538 's latest forecast shows.
That means the race is essentially a toss-up based on the closeness of the polls and the equivocacy of non-polling factors.
But a normal polling error could also result in one candidate winning easily.
This could be the closest presidential election since 1876 .
We'll be watching how Harris 's and Trump 's margins change in our forecast over the next few weeks in order to gauge the closeness of the race going into election night . Check back in on our polling averages and forecast as the race heads into its final six weeks !.
VR Score
92
Informative language
94
Neutral language
46
Article tone
formal
Language
English
Language complexity
50
Offensive language
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Hate speech
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Attention-grabbing headline
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Known propaganda techniques
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Time-value
short-lived
External references
14
Source diversity
9
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