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other polling averagesABC News
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90% Informative
538 has released Senate polling averages for the 2024 election.
With Democrats holding a 51-to-49 edge in the Senate , the contest for Congress 's upper chamber looks to be on a knife's edge.
Montana , Ohio and West Virginia are the leading races to watch in 2024 .
Democrats and independents who caucus with them control 23 of the 34 seats up this year .
Of the 11 seats held by the GOP , very few seem to offer any chance for Democrats to flip them.
The 538 Senate polling averages follow a similar methodology to our averages for the 2024 presidential race.
538 has a long history of gathering partisan surveys, too.
We adjust each poll for the partisanship of its pollster or sponsor to include partisan polls.
Our philosophy is that any data that gives us reliable information on trends in public opinion can be valuable if we make the right adjustments and weight the data appropriately.
VR Score
94
Informative language
96
Neutral language
49
Article tone
formal
Language
English
Language complexity
55
Offensive language
not offensive
Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
not detected
Known propaganda techniques
not detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
40
Source diversity
10
Affiliate links
no affiliate links