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LondonGuardian
•67% Informative
Nate Silver is known for his hugely influential US election model.
His new book, On the Edge , is an attempt to bridge the divide between 'The Village' and 'The River' He came to wider attention on the back of the 2008 presidential election, when his electoral model correctly predicted the winner in 49 out of 50 states.
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight brand is now owned by ABC , but he retains the rights to his model.
On the Edge sets a lot of store by intuition, describing how poker players use a kind of spidey-sense to tell if their opponent is bluffing.
The model gives Trump a 58% chance of winning the electoral college and Harris a 60% .
Silver is notably spiky on X, getting angry with people who disparage his model or practices.
Silver thinks the whole misinformation thing is bullshit, at least to a first approximation’, with too many “labelling ideas that are inconvenient politically as misinformation”.
VR Score
62
Informative language
55
Neutral language
41
Article tone
informal
Language
English
Language complexity
45
Offensive language
possibly offensive
Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
not detected
Known propaganda techniques
detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
9
Source diversity
8
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