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The Times & The Sunday Times

The Times & The Sunday Times

Allan Lichtman: Pollster who picked nearly every winner calls US election

The Times & The Sunday Times
Summary
Nutrition label

67% Informative

Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted nine of the past ten US presidential elections.

He rejects opinion polls and instead uses 13 indicators honed from analysing American elections dating back 120 years .

He has a near-perfect success rate since then, having only failed to forecast George W Bush’s narrow victory in 2000 .

Lichtman says Trump doesn't fit the definition of 'charisma' and appeals to a narrow base.

He says to beat the charisma key is to be one of those once in a generational, inspirational, broadly appealing, transformational candidates and very few candidates fit that.

Trump, who wrote in 2016 to congratulate him on his correct forecast, will want him to be off the mark again.

VR Score

78

Informative language

82

Neutral language

37

Article tone

informal

Language

English

Language complexity

52

Offensive language

not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful

Attention-grabbing headline

not detected

Known propaganda techniques

not detected

Time-value

short-lived

External references

no external sources

Source diversity

no sources

Affiliate links

no affiliate links