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Opinion | Montana isn't a swing state — but it still could decide the country's future

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Summary
Nutrition label

78% Informative

A shaky Senate race in Montana might be all it takes to block any hopes for a Democratic trifecta in January .

Democrats currently hold 51 seats, but the Senate election map is worse for the party than it has been in decades .

The Cook Political Report on Thursday shifted its outlook on Tester ’s race, moving Montana from a toss-up into its “lean Republican ” column.

A recent poll from the AARP that gives Sheehy a strong but not insurmountable lead was the tipping point for the prognosticators to say there’s a better chance for Tester to be toppled.

A Tester loss would almost certainly mean a much tougher political environment for Harris should she win.

VR Score

81

Informative language

79

Neutral language

33

Article tone

formal

Language

English

Language complexity

49

Offensive language

not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful

Attention-grabbing headline

not detected

Known propaganda techniques

not detected

Time-value

short-lived

External references

24

https://data.census.gov/table/DECENNIALCD1182020.P9?g=040XX00US30https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/democratic-sen-jon-tester-calls-joe-biden-drop-out-2024-election-rcna162644https://www.npr.org/2006/11/08/6457612/democrat-tester-wins-montana-senate-seathttps://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/matt-rosendale-drops-montana-senate-race-less-week-rcna139115https://leg.mt.gov/information-legislators/census-2020/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/chuck-schumer-outlines-2025-agenda-democrats-sweep-eying-filibuster-ch-rcna167433https://thedispatch.com/newsletter/dispatch-politics/democrats-still-hope-to-remake-the-supreme-court-in-2025/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2018-election/midterms/mt/https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/montana-senate/montana-senate-moves-lean-republican-gop-increasingly-favored-winhttps://www.aarp.org/politics-society/government-elections/info-2024/montana-election-poll.htmlhttps://prospect.org/politics/2024-08-22-dnc-will-senate-take-off-handcuffs-filibuster/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/senate-matchups-set-democrats-optimistic-challenging-map-rcna167458https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/2018-senate-election-results-n932546https://cowboystatedaily.com/2024/09/11/wannabe-cowboy-or-tv-farmer-gloves-are-off-in-pivotal-montana-senate-race/https://dailymontanan.com/2024/02/09/trump-endorses-sheehy-after-rosendale-enters-senate-race/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/democrats-endangered-senators-skip-convention-tough-campaigns-rcna167739https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/22/kamala-harris-voting-rights-legislation-senate/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/jon-tester-faces-another-tough-senate-campaign-montana-gop-braces-poss-rcna100083https://www.semafor.com/article/09/10/2024/the-2024-senate-battle-is-still-coming-down-to-montanahttps://newrepublic.com/article/182423/will-montanas-population-boom-shift-politics#:~:text=Montana%20as%20a%20whole%20grew,by%20population%20in%20the%20country.https://www.axios.com/2024/08/20/schumer-filibuster-votes-abortion-voting-rightshttps://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/montana-senate-race-moves-from-toss-up-to-leans-republican/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/senate-gop-campaign-chair-asks-resources-win-big-battlegrounds-rcna169947https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/montana-senate-primary-tim-sheehy-jon-tester-rcna154671

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