logo
welcome
Center for Politics – Politics is a good thing

Center for Politics – Politics is a good thing

Polling Error in 2016-2020: Look Out for Wisconsin - Sabato's Crystal Ball

Center for Politics – Politics is a good thing
Summary
Nutrition label

86% Informative

Swing state polls show an incredibly close race in our 7 Toss-up presidential states right now.

The septet of Arizona , Georgia , Michigan , Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania , and Wisconsin are all achingly close.

Final polling did generally overstate Democrats in both the 2016 and 2020 elections in these states, with Wisconsin standing out.

Michigan , Pennsylvania , and Wisconsin had polls that were too Democratic -leaning compared to the final result in each year .

That was particularly true in Wisconsin , which had an error of 7 points in both elections.

We have no idea whether the polls will be biased consistently one way or the other in 2024 .

VR Score

93

Informative language

97

Neutral language

17

Article tone

formal

Language

English

Language complexity

55

Offensive language

not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful

Attention-grabbing headline

not detected

Known propaganda techniques

not detected

Time-value

short-lived

Affiliate links

no affiliate links