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What a 160-year-old theory about coal predicts about our self-driving future

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Summary
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81% Informative

A Jevons paradox explains why efficiency improvements can backfire and cause the opposite outcome from what was intended.

In the 1800s , coal was the sine qua non of economic development, essential for everything from heating to transport to manufacturing.

Today , greater efficiency in deploying a resource causes demand for that resource to skyrocket, negating an expected decline in total usage.

The Jevons paradox has become a bedrock principle of environmental economics.

It is reasonable to expect AVs’ reliability and efficiency to improve over time.

But it is impossible to know how safe and energy-efficient their products could eventually become.

The societal impact of self-driving cars looks even worse when considering second -order effects related to land use.

VR Score

82

Informative language

81

Neutral language

45

Article tone

informal

Language

English

Language complexity

61

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not offensive

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not hateful

Attention-grabbing headline

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Known propaganda techniques

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Time-value

long-living

External references

25

https://www.thedrive.com/news/tech/americans-dont-trust-self-driving-cars-want-improved-drivers-ed-instead-studyhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-11-03/why-us-traffic-safety-fell-so-far-behind-other-countrieshttps://slate.com/technology/2023/07/cruise-autonomous-vehicles-safety-waymo-self-driving-cars-ad-new-york-times.htmlhttps://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/11/08/cruise-crash-driverless-recall/https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/fastact/factsheets/advtranscongmgmtfs.cfmhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-09-28/why-widening-highways-doesn-t-bring-traffic-reliefhttps://www.fastcompany.com/90994141/why-2023-was-the-year-of-the-e-bike-and-not-the-self-driving-carhttps://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/waymo-expand-autonomous-ride-hailing-service-areas-los-angeles-san-francisco-2024-08-06/https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-elon-musk-prioritize-robotaxis-over-cheaper-vehicle-2024-4https://energyhistory.yale.edu/w-stanley-jevons-the-coal-question-1865/https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2010/12/20/the-efficiency-dilemmahttps://www.sae.org/publications/technical-papers/content/2019-36-0297/#:~:text=However%2C%20a%20higher%20engine%20speed,tending%20to%20decrease%20engine%20efficiency.https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/363013/wide-highways-climate-environment-pollutionhttps://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/11/opinion/driverless-cars-san-francisco.htmlhttps://www.mobileye.com/blog/earth-day-autonomous-electric-vehicles-environment/https://t.co/nJvPixFo0Hhttps://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/22/opinion/vegas-sphere-energy-efficiency.htmlhttps://www.wsj.com/articles/waymo-raises-2-5-billion-in-funding-round-11623854400https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/sources-greenhouse-gas-emissions#:~:text=Transportation%20Sector%20Emissions%20Trends&text=When%20considering%20only%20direct%20emissions,decreased%20by%20less%20than%201%25.https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/09/gms-cruise-to-relaunch-vehicles-with-human-drivers-in-phoenix.htmlhttps://robohub.org/autonomous-vehicles-a-powerful-tool-if-you-can-get-the-problem-right/https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9942310https://go.skimresources.com/?id=1025X1701640&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3D0kJPDg207ochttps://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2010/08/26/not-such-a-bright-ideahttps://www.researchgate.net/publication/4882927_Suburbanization_and_the_Automobile

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