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online pollsTime Magazine
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80% Informative
A single survey does not really describe anything more about the race than how one group of selected voters responded to one set of questions during a moment in time.
As the campaign seasons hits its final weeks and early voters begin to cast ballots, here's a guide on what to make of the polls.
A New York Times/ Siena poll released on Aug. 10 indicated Harris ahead of Trump in Michigan by a 50 -46 margin.
While that sounds like Harris is leading, look closely at the margin of error, which provides an estimate of how likely the result could be off, based on factors like the size of the sample.
Context is everything, especially when it comes to polling..
In 2022 , that universe of pollsters got the pre-Election Day call correct just 72% of the time.
Outliers are polls that show a divergence from what others surveys are showing.
Even a by-the-books pollster can still occasionally produce a hinky poll.
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86
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