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election forecasts workNewsweek
•81% Informative
FiveThirtyEight re-released its election forecast model for 2024 on Friday , giving Vice President Kamala Harris a 58 percent chance of victory in November .
The updated model gives former President Donald Trump a 41 percent chance, along with a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.
The site suspended its previous forecast between Biden and Trump on July 21 , when the president announced he would not be seeking re-election.
VR Score
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90
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57
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Language complexity
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