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Global sea levels WON'T rise to worst case predictions, study argues

MailOnline
Summary
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87% Informative

The UN 's prediction that the melting of Antarctica 's 'Doomsday' glaciers could alone raise global sea levels two feet before the year 2100 has shaped global climate policy since at least 2016 .

But three new, more sophisticated climate models, produced with the backing of the National Science Foundation , now call this UN glacier model 'extreme' and 'unlikely' More realistic new scenarios, revealed by these new 'ice melt' simulations, predict the glaciers are not likely to break apart in the feared chain-reaction.

The new study simulated the rate at which the Doomsday Glacier thinned and the speed at which is would 'calve' portions of the glacier and slide those new icebergs into the sea.

But, ultimately, it found that a lost ice shelf would not lead the remaining glacier to retreat inland, nor trigger a runaway breakdown.

VR Score

92

Informative language

94

Neutral language

31

Article tone

formal

Language

English

Language complexity

56

Offensive language

not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful

Attention-grabbing headline

not detected

Known propaganda techniques

not detected

Time-value

short-lived

External references

12

https://engineering.dartmouth.edu/community/faculty/helene-seroussihttps://www.climatehubs.usda.gov/hubs/northwest/topic/what-are-climate-model-phases-and-scenarioshttps://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-the-high-emissions-rcp8-5-global-warming-scenario/https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.ado7794https://m.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-13765511/Why-climate-change-models-wrong-according-study-IPCC-UN.html?ito=facebook_share_article-bottom&t=Global+sea+levels+WON%27T+rise+to+worst+case+predictions%2C+study+argueshttps://earthsciences.dartmouth.edu/people/mathieu-morlighemhttps://share.flipboard.com/bookmarklet/popout?v=2&title=Why climate change models are wrong, according to bombshell study&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailymail.co.uk%2Fsciencetech%2Farticle-13765511%2FWhy-climate-change-models-wrong-according-study-IPCC-UN.html%3Fito%3Dflipboard_share_article-bottomhttps://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Global+sea+levels+WON%27T+rise+to+worst+case+predictions%2C+study+argues%20https://mol.im/a/13765511%20via%20@MailOnline&related=MailOnlinehttps://issm.jpl.nasa.gov/https://m.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-13765511/Why-climate-change-models-wrong-according-study-IPCC-UN.html?ito=facebook_share_article-top&t=Global+sea+levels+WON%27T+rise+to+worst+case+predictions%2C+study+argueshttps://www.research.ed.ac.uk/en/persons/daniel-goldberghttps://share.flipboard.com/bookmarklet/popout?v=2&title=Why climate change models are wrong, according to bombshell study&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailymail.co.uk%2Fsciencetech%2Farticle-13765511%2FWhy-climate-change-models-wrong-according-study-IPCC-UN.html%3Fito%3Dflipboard_share_article-top

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