logo
welcome
Politico

Politico

These factors could predict whether Kamala Harris hangs onto her polling lead

Politico
Summary
Nutrition label

81% Informative

It’s been a historic month in American politics, and in a vacuum any one of its major events would shake the race and create a temporary bump in the polls.

But it's impossible to disentangle the effects of any single event to establish the baseline state of the race.

There are several key measures to watch that have so far buoyed Harris ’ nascent candidacy.

A Monmouth University poll out on Wednesday showed only 8 percent of registered voters have a favorable opinion of neither major-party candidate.

Democrats and Harris supporters were just as likely as Republicans and Trump supporters to say they were “very enthusiastic” about voting.

The more enthusiastic party doesn’t always win, but in a close race, closing that deficit could be crucial.