Polls Overestimated Trump's Support

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Why 2016 election polls missed their mark

Summary

Nutrition label

82% Informative

Polls underestimated Donald Trump ’s level of support across the board, authors say.

With few exceptions, the final round of public polling showed Clinton with a lead of 1 to 7 percentage points in the national popular vote.

Pollsters don’t have a clear diagnosis yet for the misfires, and it will likely be some time before we know for sure what happened.

At its best, polling provides an equal voice to everyone and helps to give expression to the public’s needs and wants in ways that elections may be too blunt to do. That is why restoring polling’s credibility is so important, and why we are committed to helping in the effort to do so..

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Informative language

Neutral language

Article tone

informal

Language

English

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Offensive language

not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful