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recession fearsCNBC
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74% Informative
In the market's eyes, the Fed finds itself either poised to head off recession or doomed to repeat the mistakes of its recent past.
Traders are pricing in a half-point September cut, followed by aggressive easing that could lop 2.25 percentage points off the Fed 's short-term borrowing rate by the end of next year .
How the Fed reacts likely will go a long way in determining how investors negotiate such a turbulent climate.
The Fed has plenty of room to cut 5.25 percentage points if necessary.
Still, any quakes in the data could ignite recession talk quickly.
"The Fed is as behind the economic curve now as it was behind the inflation curve back in 2021-2022 ," David Rosenberg says.
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