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presidential contestWashington Monthly
•66% Informative
Julian Zelizer : Political professionals should know better than to predict defeat four months before Election Day .
Not two months ago , Trump was convicted of 34 felonies, and Biden was inching up in the polls.
Zelizer says a lot can happen over the next three months , but optimism is warranted.
Democrats may need to fight more of an uphill battle than necessary, but uphill battles can still be won.
The fundamentals of the 2024 election remain favorable to Democrats , but defeatism guarantees defeat.
For over a century , incumbent parties in power have won American elections under these conditions.
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