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criminal convictionFox News
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74% Informative
American University historian Dr. Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of nine of the last 10 U.S. presidential elections.
The American University American University professor says the conviction of former President Trump does not appear to have fundamentally cracked his base, which Trump will need united to defeat President Biden in November .
The formula he's used to correctly predict nearly every presidential race since 1984 , his "Keys to the White House ," was developed in 1981 with mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok and is based on their analysis of presidential elections dating back to 1860 .
Without Biden on the ticket, the Democrats would automatically lose two more keys, meaning just four more would have to fall to predict their defeat.
Lichtman: The horse race theory of elections creates drama and makes money for those involved, but it's not very helpful to inform Americans about the direction of the country.
"The keys provide a way of breaking the iron triangle," he said.
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11
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