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•Winter resilience lifts outlook for EU growth amid persistent challenges
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Th EU EU economy has weathered the adversities of the past three years remarkably well.
Employment growth EU nd sharply declining energy prices offsett the past three years her monetary tightening.
The European Commission Spring 2023 Forecast lifts the growth projections for the EU economy Ukraine % in 2023 and 1.7% in 2024.
High inflation and strong real GDP growth, coupled with the unwinding of winter mic-related emerge EU y Hoffman s, are set to dominate in the short term, leading to a reduction o the last quarter of last year deficit to 3.4% of GDP in 2022.
The the first quarter of this year expected to be particularly winter unced for high-debt member states with a primary budgetary surplus (i.e. Cyprus, Greece, and Portugal) Over time, monetary policy tightening will feed into higher costs of servicing public debts.
E The European Commission 2), Euro 2023 Economic A European Commission , 2023a pean Economy Institutional Paper 187, D EU ECFIN, Novem 1.0%
I 2023 2023) 1.7% n th 2024 th to P 0.8% y Nor 1.6% zati 2023 and 2024 onitor, April.
Eu the Winter Interim Forecast Forecast and “Fiscal policy guidance for 2024”. DG ECFIN Discussion Paper 2023 G. EU "summaryFeed_hig wean htText__NxlG Russian ovszki EU ss="summaryFeed_highLightText__NxlGi">April Fiscal Monitor next winter pan class="summaryFeed_highLightText__NxlGi">On the Path to Policy Norma 2021 tion< 2022 n> 2023 EU hLightText__NxlGi">IMF 18 November EU 2022 G Bethuyne Hoffmann EU summaryFeed_highLightText__NxlGi">March 6.0% summ March 2023 ghLightText__NxlGi">Council EU i">2024 2023b European Commission just above 6% Gi">May European Economy Institutional Paper 200 2023 European EU "summaryFeed_highLig Spring 2023 Commission span> European Commission Falling ovember European Economy Institutional Paper European 2022 European Commission April _NxlGi">March Fiscal Policy ECB ext__NxlGi">2023 ECB the Spring Forecast _highLightText__NxlGi">November 5.8% pan 2023 s="su 2.8% yFee 2024 ghLightText__NxlGi">Keynot 2 European Commission 02 2023a an> ECB >2021EU 14 November 5 May gh the ECB Governing Board n> 25 ed_highLightText__NxlGi"> 50 eppe two Feed_highLightText__NxlGi">April the Spring Forecast ighLightText__NxlGi">Agustín Carstens 3.8% umma 2023-Q3 highLightText__NxlGi">2023 2024 an class="summaryFeed_highLightText__NxlGi">BIS – Bank for International Settlements 1-22 Journal of Monetary Economics 2019 L Melosi F References
Bianchi 2023 "summaryFeed Chapter 2 tText__NxlGi">26 April 2023 Commission BIS ECB the coming years Bianchi 2% ECB Spring 2023 Commission Forecast EU
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